Spatial characteristics of thunderstorm rainfall fields and their relation to runoff

The main aim of this study was to assess the ability of simple geometric measures of thunderstorm rainfall in explaining the runoff response from the watershed. For calculation of storm geometric properties (e.g. areal coverage of storm, areal coverage of the high-intensity portion of the storm, position of storm centroid and the movement of storm centroid in time), spatial information of rainfall is needed. However, generally the rainfall data consists of rainfall depth values over an unevenly spaced network of raingauges. For this study, rainfall depth values were available for 91 raingauges in a watershed of about 148 km. There was a question about which interpolation method should be used for obtaining uniformly gridded data. Therefore, a small study was undertaken to compare cross-validation statistics and computed geometric parameters using two interpolation methods (kriging and multiquadric). These interpolation methods were used to estimate precipitation over a uniform 100 m £ 100 m grid. The cross-validation results from the two methods were generally similar and neither method consistently performed better than the other did. In view of these results we decided to use multiquadric interpolation method for the rest of the study. Several geometric measures were then computed from interpolated surfaces for about 300 storm events occurring in a 17-year period. The correlation of these computed measures with basin runoff were then observed in an attempt to assess their relative importance in basin runoff response. It was observed that the majority of the storms (observed in the study) covered the entire watershed. Therefore, it was concluded that the areal coverage of storm was not a good indicator of the amount of runoff produced. The areal coverage of the storm core (10-min intensity greater than 25 mm/h), however, was found to be a much better predictor of runoff volume and peak rate. The most important variable in runoff production was found to be the volume of the storm core. It was also observed that the position of the storm core relative to the watershed outlet becomes more important as the catchment size increases, with storms positioned in the central portion of the watershed producing more runoff than those positioned near the outlet or near the head of the watershed. This observation indicates the importance of interaction of catchment size and shape with the spatial storm structure in runoff generation. Antecedent channel wetness was found to be of some importance in explaining runoff for the largest of the three 0022-1694/03/$ see front matter q 2002 Elsevier Science B.V. All rights reserved. PII: S0 02 2 -1 69 4 (0 2) 00 3 11 -6 Journal of Hydrology 271 (2003) 1–21 www.elsevier.com/locate/jhydrol 1 Fax: þ1-520-670-5550. 2 Fax: þ1-520-621-8322. 3 Fax: þ1-520-621-1422. 4 Present address : Department of Biological Sciences, University of Letnbridge, Letnbridge, Alberta, Canada. * Corresponding author. Fax: þ1-775-458-3155. E-mail addresses: [email protected] (K.H. Syed), [email protected] (D.C. Goodrich), [email protected] (D.E. Myers), [email protected] (S. Sorooshian). watersheds studied but antecedent watershed wetness did not appreciably contributed to runoff explanation. q 2002 Elsevier Science B.V. All rights reserved.